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Unexpected Jewish Population Growth
Israel's demographic transformation gains momentum, but Aliyah From North America Still Minuscule

by Yaakov Faitelson 

According to the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics (ICBS), the Jewish population of the State of Israel reached 5,802,000 in 2010. The Jewish population is growing faster than was estimated by the ICBS in 2007 and this figure surpasses the high estimate of the 2007 projection for the year 2010 by 147,200.

The total fertility rate (TFR) of Israeli Jews increased between the years 2001 and 2009, from 2.53 to 2.90 children per woman. The TFR of Israeli Arabs fell from 4.37 in 2000 to 3.50 in 2009. Continuation of this trend could lead to equal TFR for Arabs and Jews in Israel by the end of the second decade of the 21st century.
 
In 2009, the TFR of Jewish women in the Jerusalem district was 4.16, while the Arab TFR fell to 3.87 children per woman. According to the CBS of the Palestinian Authority, the Arab TFR in Judea and Samaria is 3.12, down from 4.25 children per woman in 2000. The TFR of the Jewish residents in Judea and Samaria is 5.06.

 
Population Increase in the State of Israel

According to the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics (ICBS) the Jewish population of the State of Israel reached 5,802,000 in 2010. This figure exceeds by 234,500 the low estimate . of the ICBS 2007 projection for the year 2010 (5,567,500) and surpasses the high estimate of this forecast (5,654,800)  by 147,200.  By the end of 2010 the expanded Jewish population totaled 6,122,000, which is 230,500 more than the low estimate (5,891,500) and 106,300 more than the high estimate (6,015,700) of this ICBS forecast for 2010.

The Israeli Arab population reached 1,573,000. This figure is 28,000 less than the high estimate (1,601,000) and 500 less than the low estimate (1,573,500) of the ICBS forecast for 2010.

The Jewish population is growing faster than was estimated by the ICBS in 2007, while the Arab population just about reached the ICBS's low forecast for 2010

Aliya

According to a report by the Ministry of Absorption and the Jewish Agency, more than 19,000 new olim came to Israel in 2010. This is 16% more than in 2009 and 39% more than in 2008
  .
The largest percentage of immigrants are from the former USSR – 7,300 - which is a 7% increase over 2009 immigration from the former USSR and a 25% increase over that of 2008. North America contributed 3,980 olim, up 6% from 2009. About 1,470 came from South America – 19% more than last year. 2,040 are immigrants from France – 8% more than in 2009. Following the Israeli government’s recent decision, 1,655 Ethiopians immigrated to
Israel, compared to 240 in 2009.

 
The highest growth rate of immigration to Israel in 2010 was from Venezuela – 280% more than in 2009. It was followed by Belgium with 63% more olim than in 2009; India, 60%; the Baltic countries, 50%; Australia and New Zealand, 48%; Switzerland, 30%. Aliya from Italygrew by 25% since 2009
 
Israel Population Natural Increase
 
The Jewish natural increase has grown consistently from 48,440 in 1995 to 86,621 in 2010: a 79% increase